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Is Whisky a Good Investment? A Distiller's Guide

9 January 2024 · 7 min read ·By Kathryn Holms, Head of Marketing and Communications
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Is whisky a good investment? It can be. Done well, rare Scotch has delivered some of the strongest returns of any collectable over the past decade. Done badly, it is an easy way to lose money to inflated cask prices, hidden exit costs and outright scams. I have spent two decades collecting, investing and working in the whisky industry, so this is an honest, distiller's view of how whisky investment really works, what returns to expect, and how to start without getting burned.

The internet is awash with investment companies promising vast returns. Most of them point to the person who bought a cask of Macallan thirty years ago for a few thousand pounds and sold it for seven figures. That story is real, and there is genuinely money to be made in whisky. But it is not as simple as buying a cask today and retiring on the profit tomorrow.

Is whisky a good investment?

Whisky can be a good investment for people who treat it seriously and go in with their eyes open. Rare Scotch has outperformed many traditional assets over the last ten years, and unlike stocks it is a physical thing you can still enjoy if the market turns. The catch is that returns are never guaranteed, the market rewards knowledge, and the real costs and risks are higher than the glossy adverts admit. If you are happy to do your homework, buy well and hold for the long term, it can pay off handsomely. If you want a quick, hands off win, it is not for you. It helps to understand why the underlying product keeps getting dearer, which I cover in why single malt Scotch prices keep rising.

The two ways to invest in whisky: casks and bottles

There are two routes into whisky investment, and they suit very different people. Here is how they compare before we get into the detail.

  Cask investment Bottle collecting
Typical entry cost Higher, often a few thousand pounds and up Lower, from tens to hundreds per bottle
Risk Higher, and harder to value Lower, easier to sell on
Knowledge needed High, you must know your stuff Moderate, and a good hobby to learn
Time to a return Long, usually years Shorter and more flexible
Best for Committed investors buying direct Newcomers and hands on collectors

Cask investment

Buying a whole cask has been a long standing trend, and the availability of good casks is much lower at the moment, which is pushing up demand, prices and potential returns. But it can be a poisoned chalice, and you need to be really careful who you work with. The usual obstacle is buying through third parties and not getting a certificate of ownership. A cask can pass through so many hands that you cannot guarantee its authenticity. So my first tip is always to buy direct from a distillery. You can see how we do it on our cask ownership pages.

You also have to look past the headline price to the exit costs. When your cask is ready you still face bottling, duty and VAT, and the distillery may not want to buy it back from you. Many distilleries put restrictions on what you can do with a cask and when it can be bottled, so make sure you know your limitations before you commit a penny.

Collecting bottles of whisky

This is where I started. There is a real thrill in hunting down a rare bottle, the costs are far lower, and the returns can still be very good. It is also safer, because you are not risking large sums or wrestling with the complexities of a cask, and you can turn the investment around much more quickly.

Of course you might choose to keep the whisky for yourself, no judgement here, at which point it becomes less of an investment and more of an expensive hobby. That is a risk in its own right. When we ran our whisky shops I was forever being asked what to collect. One of my regulars has spent roughly £15,000 to £20,000 on whisky since 2010, and now sits on a collection worth over £100,000. Get the right advice and the returns on bottles can be significant. That same client recently bought one of our VI Casks for King James six bottle sets through the King James Cask Club. If you would rather own exclusive bottles than a full cask, that set was created for exactly this reason. It is a plug for our own product, but the point stands: bottles are a sensible stepping stone into whisky investment.

What returns can you expect from whisky?

Honestly, it depends entirely on what you buy and when. The strongest gains come from rare, limited and highly sought after bottles, releases from closed distilleries, and well chosen casks held for the long term. My regular client turning £15,000 to £20,000 into six figures is real, but it took more than a decade, good advice and a lot of patience. Not every bottle appreciates, plenty simply hold their value, and some fall. Treat any figure you see in an advert as the best case, not the average, and plan for years rather than months.

The questions to ask before you buy a cask

When someone wants to buy a cask from us, I always ask a few questions first. Ask yourself the same ones before you buy from anybody.

  • What is your motivation for buying a cask, and what do you want to get from it?
  • Do you know how much liquid and how many bottles you will have at the end?
  • Do you know the exit costs: bottling, duty and VAT?
  • Are you aware the distillery may not want to buy it back from you?
  • Are you mindful of the risk of losing the authenticity of the product?
  • What can you comfortably afford?
  • What time frame are you looking at for a return?

The risks and mistakes to avoid

Most people who lose money in whisky make the same handful of avoidable mistakes. Sidestep these and you are already ahead.

  • Buying through investment companies you cannot check. High pressure sales and guaranteed returns are red flags. Buy direct wherever you can.
  • No certificate of ownership. If you cannot prove you own the cask, you do not really own it.
  • Ignoring exit costs. Bottling, duty and VAT can swallow a chunk of your paper profit.
  • Assuming a guaranteed buyer. The distillery may not buy your cask back, and you need a plan for selling it.
  • Overpaying at the top of a hype cycle. Chasing a hot name at any price rarely ends well.
  • Treating it as a sure thing. It is an investment, with real risk, not a savings account.

How to start investing in whisky

My advice, after twenty years of it, comes down to this. Buy direct from a distillery. Do your homework and understand the pitfalls of buying through an investment company. Know exactly what your plan is once you have made the investment, including how and when you will sell. If you are new, start with bottles to learn the market at lower risk, then move into casks once you know your stuff.

If you want to own a cask of Stirling spirit and follow it as it matures, take a look at our cask ownership programme, or explore the bottles in our Sons of Scotland single cask range. And if you would like to bend my ear on the subject, get in touch. Whisky is my favourite thing to talk about.

Frequently asked questions

Is whisky a good investment?

Whisky can be a strong investment if you buy well and hold for the long term. Rare Scotch has outperformed many traditional assets over the past decade, but returns are not guaranteed and the market rewards knowledge, so it suits patient investors who do their homework rather than anyone after a quick win.

Are whisky casks a good investment?

A well chosen cask bought direct from a distillery can deliver good returns, because cask availability is low and demand is high. The risks are higher too: authenticity, exit costs like bottling, duty and VAT, and no guaranteed buyer. Always insist on a certificate of ownership and buy direct.

Is it better to invest in casks or bottles?

Bottles are the safer, cheaper and more flexible way in, and a good place to start. Casks need more money, knowledge and patience, but can reward committed investors. Many people begin with bottles and move into casks once they know the market.

How much money do you need to start investing in whisky?

You can start collecting bottles for tens to hundreds of pounds each, which makes it an accessible entry point. Cask investment usually starts at a few thousand pounds and rises from there, before you factor in the eventual bottling, duty and VAT.

What are the biggest risks of whisky investment?

The main risks are buying through unchecked third parties, having no certificate of ownership, underestimating exit costs, assuming a guaranteed buyer, and overpaying at the top of a hype cycle. Buying direct from a distillery and planning your exit removes most of them.

Cheers,
Cam

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